Friday, September 17, 2004

Games of Sept 18th, 2004: College Picks

Id love to break down where I went wrong in Week 1, but no time, really. I will say that a lack of internet service last week kept me from letting you all know that I had Notre Dame to cover and Indiana too. Your loss....on to the picks!

***** 5 Star Picks

West Virginia (-6) v. Maryland: Alot of people are talking up a Maryland team that barely escaped against Northern Illinois two weeks ago. West Virginia is loaded, and KJ Harris is going to play. Rasheed Marshall is on fire right now. Mountaineers in a romp.

Syracuse (+3) v. Cincinnati: The demise of the Cuse is greatly overrated. In a home game against the Bearcats, Pasqualoni will get it done. There's no place like Dome.

Wisconsin/Arizona UNDER 40: This is too easy. Anthony Davis is hobbled, Arizona has a Mike Stoops defense, and the Wildcats couldn't score in 3 plays if you pulled the defense off the field. 3-0 sounds about right here.

Notre Dame (-3) @ Michigan State: MSU is terrible, losing to a Rutgers team that lost at home to New Hampshire. The Domers have better athletes, and will be very physical with the young Spartans. The Irish could win by two touchdowns here.

Minnesota (-3.5) @ Colorado State: This number vexes me. The Gophers are the second leading rushing team in the nation, going against a team that has given up 250 and 325 yards rushing in its first two games. The only problem the Gophers face is WR D. Anderson who has caught 300 yards worth of balls in two games.

**** 4 Star Picks:

Iowa State (-3) v. No. Illinois: Iowa State gave Iowa a real run, and had a chance to win that game. The QB situation seems to be settled in Ames, and the defense is strong. 3 is hardly a large enough number to even think about taking No. Ill on the road.

*** 3 Star Picks:

UAB (+23.5) @ Florida State: Chris Rix sucks. The end. UAB is a very underrated team that returns 80% on both sides of the football. They may not come close to winning, but they should cover.

UNLV (-6) v. Air Force: UNLV may be without their quarterback, but the strength of this team is its running game, and underrated defense. If they can contain the wishbone, led by a new QB, they should be ok. The Rebels are more than 6 points better than Air Force.

** 2 Star Picks:

San Diego State (+20) @ Michigan: I just dont believe in the Wolverines' offense. Henne may be good someday, but today, he stinks. RB D Underwood probably wont play, and without a solid running game, Henne will have trouble getting the passing game on track. Note that SD St is without Freshman AA RB L. Hamilton, but his replacement has been more than adequate.

Auburn PK v. LSU: I hate the LSU QB situation, and this game will be played in the mire. The best running game should prevail here, and Auburn has one of the best in the nation.

Oregon (+28) @ Oklahoma: Here is the thing. Oregon lost to Indiana, but outgained them by about a 3:1 margin. Oklahoma couldn't cover at home against Bowling Green. My thought is that if Oregon can keep from having 7 turnovers again (yipes!) they can keep this game within 4 touchdowns. A very sleepy pick.

TCU (+5.5) @ Texas Tech: Expect about 100 pts in this game. TCU has a great running game, and a very underrated passing game. Tech will move the ball through the air, but not like they did last season. TCU should win this game outright.

Arizona State (-1) v. Iowa: Just note that the Sun Devils are actually favored in this game. The Iowa defense is spectacular, but if ASU can put together any semblence of a running game, as they did last week against NW, they should be able to air it out against the Iowa secondary.

* 1 Lousy Star Picks:

La Tech (+30.5) @ Miami (FL): Call it a hunch. I think Berlin sucks. And, the La Tech RB has gone for 250 yards in each of his first two games. If La Tech can control the ball on the ground for a little while, they can at least keep the score respectable.



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