September 17th, 2005
Here are the picks for this week. Since it is still early, I will choose as many games as possible, with a short explanation. Next week, we may start the star pick system again. Last weekend was good, and only Ohio St kept me from a very successful weekend. Will I be fooled by Pitt again? Don't count on it....
Maryland (-3) v. West Virginia: Maryland is coming off a tight loss to Clemson, a team proving to be better than previously thought. WV is a lot less talented than in years past, though Rich Rodriguez is still a quality coach who will keep this close. Friedgen is a better coach, and the Maryland running game, and the defense (led by AA LB DQuell Jackson) will hold WV under 21.
WEST VIRGINIA 31, MARYLAND 19 (L)
Vanderbilt (-3) v. Mississippi: Jay Cutler may be the best QB in the SEC. Look for him to lead Vandy to another win against a good Ole Miss defense. Miss only managed 10 pts against a terrible Memphis defense.
VANDERBILT 30, OLE MISS 23 (W)
Boston College (+1.5) v. Florida St: BC defense is good enough to keep this game close. Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Under 37 may be the better play.
[NOTE: I changed this pick to Florida St before kickoff]
FLORIDA ST 28, BOSTON COLLEGE 17 (W)
45 TOTAL POINTS (L)
Mich St (+6) @ Notre Dame: Drew Stanton is a better QB than Chad Henne, and will provide more of a challenge for the ND defense. Look for Mich St to stay close with a balanced attack. Way too many points to give a team that won in its last trip to South Bend.
MICH ST 44, NOTRE DAME 41 [OT] (W)
UCLA (-6.5) v. Oklahoma: Oklahoma is terrible, and UCLA will expose their problems on defense. The only issue will be stopping AD (All Day Adrian Peterson). Over 51.5 is a better play.
UCLA 41, OKLAHOMA 24 (W)
65 TOTAL POINTS (W)
Nebraska (-9.5) v. Pitt: Pitt sucks. I will not fall for them again. Nebraska at home should be enough.
NEBRASKA 7, PITTSBURGH 6 (L)
So Carolina (+1.5) v. Alabama: The gamecocks are a good defensive team, with offensive potential. The old ball coach should start figuring it out as an overrated Bama team comes into town.
ALABAMA 37, SO CAR 14 (L)
Cal (-21) v. Illinois: Illinois is horrible, and J Ayoob demonstrated last week that he has what it takes to run the Tedford offense. Marshawn Lynch looks better than JJ Arrington, and should go for 220 against the Illini.
[NOTE: Marshawn Lynch was declared out for this game before kick off, and I took it off the board]
NP
Wisconsin (-3.5) @ No Carolina: No Carolina played over their head against G Tech, and the Wisc running game looks like it is for real. Disregard the road game, and take the Big Ten here.
WISCONIN 14, UNC 5 (W)
Fresno St (+2.5) @ Oregon: Look for FSU to get physical with the Ducks, and win this game by a field goal. Beware the injury to DT McIntyre, as well as Oregon's superior team speed. Bet small.
[NOTE: Got 3 points or this game.]
OREGON 37, FRESNO 34 (P)
Tennessee (+6) @ Florida: Regardless of where this game is played, 6 points is too much for either team. Disregard the matchup, and take the points based solely on the fact this game will be tighter than that.
FLORIDA 16, TENN 7 (L)
Arizona (+7) v. Purdue: At home, Arizona will be to tough to blow out. Mike Stoops is building a strong team, with a great defense and a solid running game. Purdue is not nearly as talented as the "experts" say
PURDUE 31, ARIZONA 24 (P)
Arizona St (-14.5) v. Northwestern: NW plays great at home, and beat No Ill by 1 last week at home, indicating they arent as strong as in the past. On the road, against a superior offense, and underrated defense, the Cats will struggle. Their RB is a true freshman who will struggle on the road.
ARIZONA ST 52, NORTHWESTERN 21 (W)
Minnesota (-31) v. Florida Atlantic: The Gopher offense is dominant at the start of the season, traditionally, and FAU doesn't have nearly the talent to keep Minn from scoring at least 50 pts. The defense has improved dramatically, and should keep FAU under 10. A definite blow out.
MINNESOTA 46, FAU 7 (W)
Late Additions:
Mississippi St (-3) v. Tulane MSU 21, TULANE 14 (W)
New Mexico (-22) v. New Mexico St NM 38, NMSU 21 (L)
So Florida (-7) v. Cent Florida SO FLA 31, C FLA 14 (W)
Kentucky/Indiana O/51 INDIANA 38, KENT 14 TOTAL 52 (W)
Tulsa (+3.5) @ No Texas TULSA 54 , NTU 2 (W)
Louisville (-14.5) v. Oregon St L'VILLE 63, OSU 27 (W)
Michigan (-29) v. E Mich MICH 55, E MICH 0 (W)
WEEK 3: 14-7-2 (.696)
YEAR TO DATE: 42-21-3 (.682)
Maryland (-3) v. West Virginia: Maryland is coming off a tight loss to Clemson, a team proving to be better than previously thought. WV is a lot less talented than in years past, though Rich Rodriguez is still a quality coach who will keep this close. Friedgen is a better coach, and the Maryland running game, and the defense (led by AA LB DQuell Jackson) will hold WV under 21.
WEST VIRGINIA 31, MARYLAND 19 (L)
Vanderbilt (-3) v. Mississippi: Jay Cutler may be the best QB in the SEC. Look for him to lead Vandy to another win against a good Ole Miss defense. Miss only managed 10 pts against a terrible Memphis defense.
VANDERBILT 30, OLE MISS 23 (W)
Boston College (+1.5) v. Florida St: BC defense is good enough to keep this game close. Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Under 37 may be the better play.
[NOTE: I changed this pick to Florida St before kickoff]
FLORIDA ST 28, BOSTON COLLEGE 17 (W)
45 TOTAL POINTS (L)
Mich St (+6) @ Notre Dame: Drew Stanton is a better QB than Chad Henne, and will provide more of a challenge for the ND defense. Look for Mich St to stay close with a balanced attack. Way too many points to give a team that won in its last trip to South Bend.
MICH ST 44, NOTRE DAME 41 [OT] (W)
UCLA (-6.5) v. Oklahoma: Oklahoma is terrible, and UCLA will expose their problems on defense. The only issue will be stopping AD (All Day Adrian Peterson). Over 51.5 is a better play.
UCLA 41, OKLAHOMA 24 (W)
65 TOTAL POINTS (W)
Nebraska (-9.5) v. Pitt: Pitt sucks. I will not fall for them again. Nebraska at home should be enough.
NEBRASKA 7, PITTSBURGH 6 (L)
So Carolina (+1.5) v. Alabama: The gamecocks are a good defensive team, with offensive potential. The old ball coach should start figuring it out as an overrated Bama team comes into town.
ALABAMA 37, SO CAR 14 (L)
Cal (-21) v. Illinois: Illinois is horrible, and J Ayoob demonstrated last week that he has what it takes to run the Tedford offense. Marshawn Lynch looks better than JJ Arrington, and should go for 220 against the Illini.
[NOTE: Marshawn Lynch was declared out for this game before kick off, and I took it off the board]
NP
Wisconsin (-3.5) @ No Carolina: No Carolina played over their head against G Tech, and the Wisc running game looks like it is for real. Disregard the road game, and take the Big Ten here.
WISCONIN 14, UNC 5 (W)
Fresno St (+2.5) @ Oregon: Look for FSU to get physical with the Ducks, and win this game by a field goal. Beware the injury to DT McIntyre, as well as Oregon's superior team speed. Bet small.
[NOTE: Got 3 points or this game.]
OREGON 37, FRESNO 34 (P)
Tennessee (+6) @ Florida: Regardless of where this game is played, 6 points is too much for either team. Disregard the matchup, and take the points based solely on the fact this game will be tighter than that.
FLORIDA 16, TENN 7 (L)
Arizona (+7) v. Purdue: At home, Arizona will be to tough to blow out. Mike Stoops is building a strong team, with a great defense and a solid running game. Purdue is not nearly as talented as the "experts" say
PURDUE 31, ARIZONA 24 (P)
Arizona St (-14.5) v. Northwestern: NW plays great at home, and beat No Ill by 1 last week at home, indicating they arent as strong as in the past. On the road, against a superior offense, and underrated defense, the Cats will struggle. Their RB is a true freshman who will struggle on the road.
ARIZONA ST 52, NORTHWESTERN 21 (W)
Minnesota (-31) v. Florida Atlantic: The Gopher offense is dominant at the start of the season, traditionally, and FAU doesn't have nearly the talent to keep Minn from scoring at least 50 pts. The defense has improved dramatically, and should keep FAU under 10. A definite blow out.
MINNESOTA 46, FAU 7 (W)
Late Additions:
Mississippi St (-3) v. Tulane MSU 21, TULANE 14 (W)
New Mexico (-22) v. New Mexico St NM 38, NMSU 21 (L)
So Florida (-7) v. Cent Florida SO FLA 31, C FLA 14 (W)
Kentucky/Indiana O/51 INDIANA 38, KENT 14 TOTAL 52 (W)
Tulsa (+3.5) @ No Texas TULSA 54 , NTU 2 (W)
Louisville (-14.5) v. Oregon St L'VILLE 63, OSU 27 (W)
Michigan (-29) v. E Mich MICH 55, E MICH 0 (W)
WEEK 3: 14-7-2 (.696)
YEAR TO DATE: 42-21-3 (.682)
posted by Consigliari at 8:35 PM
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